A simple form of technical analysis, and one of the best.
Trend trading is simply the idea that if you want to make profits, buy something
that is going up. When it starts to go down, you sell. The idea is that trends
do tend to persist for a while, and the best way is to get in on it and hang on
while the price goes up.
In a more cynical phraseology, you can put this as "a trend in motion will
remain in motion until it stops". Wonderful, tell me again how many thousands
that trading course costs?
However you put it, going counter-trend is certainly even more dangerous, buying
a stock that has been falling steadily for some weeks now is asking for trouble.
The million dollar question is, how long is this trend going to persist? Trend
traders are purely reactive. They don't try to be clever and do any forcasting,
they just take positions in the same direction as the market has been moving over
whatever time frame they operate in, run their profits as long as possible while
the stock is uptrending and quickly sell when the stock starts to fall. Most
good futures traders, who almost exclusively use technical analysis, make up for
generally terrible "hit rates" by making a much larger profit on their few winning
trades than they lose on their numerous little losing trades.